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Is Trump’s indefinite ceasefire with Iran the prelude to peace?

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Iran, facing both existential stakes and internal divisions, remains unlikely to capitulate.

Iran, facing both existential stakes and internal divisions, remains unlikely to capitulate.

PHOTO: REUTERS

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  • US President Trump initiated an open-ended ceasefire with Iran on April 21. He cited Iran's "seriously fractured" government and vowed to maintain a naval blockade.
  • Iran dismissed Trump's ceasefire as "meaningless" and threatened force over the naval blockade. Experts see Iran viewing it as a strategic win, despite internal divisions.
  • The ceasefire presents a fragile negotiation opportunity, with a US naval blockade offering leverage. Missteps could still lead to renewed hostilities, despite reduced war probability.

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